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Market Week Ahead: Treasury Yields, Australian Jobs Report, UK GDP

Market Recap

Markets finished the week on an upbeat note following an action-packed week filled with event risks and central bank decisions.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) gained 1.42%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 closed the week out north of 3%. In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 2.49%, but Chinese stocks underperformed the broader equity market, with the CSI 300 slipping 1.35%. Australia’s ASX 200 rose nearly 2%.

Friday’s non-farm payrolls print resulted in yields accelerating lower to finish out the week. The strong payrolls data wasn’t enough to lift Fed rate hike bets, with the chance for a 25 basis point rate hike for the June 2022 meeting dropping from 45.8% to 41.9% over the past week, according to Fed funds futures.

What to Watch This Week

Wednesday will bring a $25 billion 30-year bond auction. These offerings will help shed light on bond traders’ post-FOMC appetite for government debt.

After a sharp drop in response to the surprise Bank of England (BOE) rate decision, the British Pound will be under the spotlight this week. The United Kingdom’s GDP report set to cross the wires on Thursday will provide potential event risk for the Sterling.

Traders will also be putting Australian employment data under the microscope, with October’s jobs report due out Thursday. The consensus analysts’ expectation sees 50k jobs added, with the unemployment rate ticking higher to 4.7% from 4.6%.

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